Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making

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Edition: 1st
Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 2004-11-12
Publisher(s): Wiley-Blackwell
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Summary

The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.

Author Biography

Derek J. Koehler is Associate Professor of Psychology at the University of Waterloo, Canada. He recently completed a term as associate editor at the Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition.

Nigel Harvey is Professor of Judgment and Decision Research at University College London. He is a member of the Centre for Research into Economic Learning and Social Evolution and is a former president of the European Association for Decision Making.

Table of Contents

List of Contributors
viii
List of Figures and Tables
xi
Preface xiv
Part I: Approaches
1(154)
Rationality and the Normative/Descriptive Distinction
3(16)
David Over
Normative Models of Judgment and Decision Making
19(18)
Jonathan Baron
Social Judgment Theory: Applying and Extending Brunswik's Probabilistic Functionalism
37(25)
William M. Goldstein
Fast and Frugal Heuristics: The Tools of Bounded Rationality
62(27)
Gerd Gigerenzer
Yet Another Look at the Heuristics and Biases Approach
89(21)
Gideon Keren
Karl H. Teigen
Walking with the Scarecrow: The Information-processing Approach to Decision Research
110(23)
John W. Payne
James R. Bettman
Computational Models of Decision Making
133(22)
Jerome R. Busemeyer
Joseph G. Johnson
Part II: Judgments
155(184)
Inside and Outside Probability Judgment
157(20)
David A. Lagnado
Steven A. Sloman
Perspectives on Probability Judgment Calibration
177(23)
Dale Griffin
Lyle Brenner
Hypothesis Testing and Evaluation
200(20)
Craig R. M. McKenzie
Judging Covariation and Causation
220(20)
David R. Shanks
A Tale of Tuned Decks? Anchoring as Accessibility and Anchoring as Adjustment
240(18)
Nicholas Epley
Twisted Pair: Counterfactual Thinking and the Hindsight Bias
258(16)
Neal J. Roese
Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity
274(23)
Paul J. H. Schoemaker
Expertise in Judgment and Decision Making: A Case for Training Intuitive Decision Skills
297(19)
Jennifer K. Phillips
Gary Klein
Winston R. Sieck
Debiasing
316(23)
Richard P. Larrick
Part III: Decisions
339(186)
Context and Conflict in Multiattribute Choice
341(19)
Eldar Shafir
Robyn A. LeBoeuf
Internal and Substantive Inconsistencies in Decision Making
360(19)
Christopher K. Hsee
Jiao Zhang
Junsong Chen
Framing, Loss Aversion, and Mental Accounting
379(20)
Dilip Soman
Decision Under Risk
399(25)
George Wu
Jiao Zhang
Richard Gonzalez
Intertemporal Choice
424(20)
Daniel Read
The Connections between Affect and Decision Making: Nine Resulting Phenomena
444(20)
Yuval Rottenstreich
Suzanne Shu
Group Decision and Deliberation: A Distributed Detection Process
464(21)
Robert D. Sorkin
Shenghua Luan
Jesse Itzkowitz
Behavioral Game Theory
485(19)
Simon Gachter
Culture and Decisions
504(21)
Incheol Choi
Jong An Choi
Ara Norenzayan
Part IV: Applications
525(99)
Behavioral Finance
527(20)
Markus Glaser
Markus Noth
Martin Weber
Judgment and Decision-making Accounting Research: A Quest to Improve the Production, Certification, and Use of Accounting Information
547(20)
Natalia Kotchetova
Steven Salterio
Heuristics, Biases, and Governance
567(18)
Jeffrey J. Rachlinski
The Psychology of Medical Decision Making
585(19)
Gretchen B. Chapman
Judgment, Decision Making, and Public Policy
604(20)
Nick Pidgeon
Robin Gregory
Index 624

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